B-
18%
Total crime NAT. AVG.
28%
Violent crime NAT. AVG.
16%
Property crime NAT. AVG.
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Date & Last Updated: This data reflects the 2022 calendar year and was released from the FBI in September, 2023; this is the most current data available.
StatisticReportedincidents/100k peopleDumfries/100k peopleVirginia/100k peopleNational/100k people
Total crime108n/a (estimate)1,9081,9302,324
Murder3n/a53.07.36.3
Rape1n/a17.730.240.0
Robbery4n/a70.738.466.1
Assault7n/a123.7158.1268.2
Violent crime15n/a (estimate)265234370
Burglary4n/a70.7124.6269.8
Theft65n/a1,148.61,410.41,401.9
Vehicle theft24n/a424.1160.7282.7
Property crime93n/a (estimate)1,6431,6961,954

An Overview of Crime Rates in Dumfries, VA

Crime can be categorized into two primary types: violent and property crimes. Violent crimes encompass offenses such as murder, rape, robbery, and assault, whereas property crimes involve acts like burglary, theft, and vehicle theft. The overall crime rate in Dumfries is 17.9% lower than the national average. Specifically, there were 15 violent crimes reported in Dumfries, equivalent to 265 per 100,000 residents, which is lower than the national average by 28.3%. Additionally, Dumfries recorded 93 property crimes, amounting to 1643 per 100,000 people, lower than the national average by 15.9%.

Although murder rates are essentially half of what they used to be 30+ years ago, some cities still struggle with higher rates than others. Dumfries is one of those cities. In the last reported crime year, there were a total of 3 murders in Dumfries, which equates to 53 murders per 100,000 people. This results in Dumfries being a very dangerous place to live.

The occurrence of vehicle thefts has been increasing nationwide, and Dumfries faces one of the highest vehicle theft rates in the United States. In the latest reported crime year, there were a reported 24 vehicle thefts, translating to 424 stolen vehicles per 100,000 residents. This places Dumfries in the bottom 10% among all cities, signifying that 90% of cities have less stolen vehicles. The likelihood of experiencing a vehicle theft is 1 in 236.

What Do the Locals Say About Crime in Dumfries?

AreaVibes surveyed 9 local residents in Dumfries to gauge the safety of the area. Based on the results, 0% of people answered that there was very little crime in Dumfries and that they felt very comfortable walking alone at night. Another 100% of people responded that there was far too much crime and they would be hesitant to walk the streets alone at night. Keep in mind that the opinions of residents may vary depending on which area they live in.

Is Dumfries a Safe Place to Live?

Determining whether Dumfries is a place to live may not always yield a simple answer, given the city's varying safety levels across different areas. Nonetheless, comprehending the city's overall crime rate can be a valuable asset. In broad terms, Dumfries has an overall crime rate that is 18% lower than the national average. When we take a look at crime on a daily basis, this translates into 0.3 daily occurrences, comprising 0.04 violent crimes and 0.25 property crimes. Scrutinizing these statistics provides a foundation for a more informed assessment of the suitability of Dumfries as a potential place to establish residency.

Has Crime in Dumfries Increased Since Last Year?

In the most recent crime report, year-over-year crime rates in Dumfries has increased by 63.6%. Examining the change in crime rates from one year to the next provides valuable insights into the evolving safety landscape of Dumfries, aiding residents in assessing whether it is becoming a safer or more dangerous place to live. These crime rates are categorized into two primary groups: violent and property crimes. Year-over-year, violent crime has increased by 275%, while property crime has increased by 50%. This comprehensive analysis offers potential residents essential information for making informed decisions about whether or not Dumfries is a safe place to live.

Potential Causes for Crime in Dumfries

The economic prosperity of a city's inhabitants exerts substantial influence on crime stats. Elevated poverty rates and income inequality can precipitate heightened criminal activity, as individuals may turn to illicit means to fulfill their fundamental requirements. While lower poverty rates could lead to lower Dumfries crime rates. In Dumfries, the poverty rate stands at 15.5%, diverging from the national average of 15.1%.

In areas where housing affordability is an issue, crime can become a significant concern. Some individuals and families may be forced to live in overcrowded or substandard housing conditions, which can increase stress and potentially contribute to domestic disputes and related crimes. The median home price in Dumfries is $214,800, compared to a national average of $184,700.

Elevated rental costs can generate economic strain for both individuals and families, particularly those with restricted financial means. When a substantial proportion of one's income is allocated to housing costs, it often leaves limited resources for fulfilling other crucial necessities such as groceries, healthcare and education. This financial pressure can fuel desperation, potentially prompting individuals to resort to criminal actions, including theft or fraud, as a means of coping with their financial hardships. In Dumfries, the average monthly rent stands at $1,685, while the national average is $949 per month.

Dumfries crime map



The Dumfries crime map provides a detailed overview of all crimes in Dumfries as reported by the local law enforcement agencies. Based on the color coded legend above, the crime map outlines the areas with lower crime compared to the areas with higher crime. The Dumfries crime heat map offers insight into the total crimes on a block group level. Please note that the red areas on the Dumfries crime map does not always indicate that it is a dangerous area for its residents. Areas on the heat map could be inflated if they are located in high traffic areas like airports, sports centers or large parks. Other areas on the heat map could see increased crime rates if they are located in major tourist areas like the downtown core.
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      Crime Quick Facts

      • Dumfries crime rates are 18% lower than the national average
      • Violent crimes in Dumfries are 28% lower than the national average
      • In Dumfries you have a 1 in 53 chance of becoming a victim of crime
      • Dumfries is safer than 42% of the cities in the United States
      • Year over year crime in Dumfries has increased by 80%

      Dumfries, VA Crime Quiz

         

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        Daily Crime In Dumfries (per 100,000 people)

        The chart above shows the number of daily crimes in Dumfries, VA per 100,000 people. In Dumfries, the number of daily crimes is projected to be 1.01 times less than the Virginia average and 1.22 times less than the national average. The average number of daily violent crimes in Dumfries is 1.13 times more than the Virginia average and 1.40 times less than the daily national average. With regards to property crimes, Dumfries has a daily crime rate that is 1.03 times less than the Virginia average and 1.19 times less than the overall daily national average.

        How Safe is Dumfries (higher is better)

        Compared to the other cities in Virginia and all other cities across the US, is Dumfries safe? From the gauges displayed above, you will notice that Dumfries is safer than 43% of other cities in the state of Virginia. In addition, Dumfries is safer than 42% of cities in the entire United States. To achieve these results, all Virginia and United States cities were analyzed to determine how many locations had a lower crime rate than Dumfries. By studying this data, it was possible to determine that Dumfries is below average in safety when compared with other United States cities.

        Chance of Being A Victim of Crime in Dumfries

        The chance of being a victim of violent crime in Dumfries is 1 in 378
        The chance of being a victim of property crime in Dumfries is 1 in 61
        The chance of being a victim of crime in Dumfries is 1 in 53
        How likely are you to become a victim of crime? In Dumfries, Virginia you have a 1 in 378 chance of becoming a victim of violent crime. Violent crimes include murder, rape, robbery and assault. With regards to property crime, you have a 1 in 61 chance of becoming a victim. Property crimes include burglary, theft and vehicle theft. Overall, you have a 1 in 53 chance of becoming a victim of crime in Dumfries.

        Year Over Year Crime In Dumfries (per 100,000 people)

        The year over year crime rate per 100,000 people for Dumfries is an accurate tool for tracking the rise and fall of crime, and in determining if living in Dumfries has become safer or more dangerous. The year over year data displayed in the graph shows that violent crimes have increased by 314% in Dumfries, while property crimes in Dumfries have increased by 65%. Total crime has increased by 80% year over year.

        Dumfries police department

        Item Dumfries Virginia National
        Law enforcement employees (officers & civilians)108,827558,732
        Police officers & civilians /1000 residents1.93.23.3
        There are a total of 10 Dumfries police officers. This results in 1.9 police officers per 1,000 residents which is 40.6% less than the Virginia average and 41.2% less than the National average.

        Sex offenders in Virginia

        State Total offenders Virginia /100K National /100K
        Virginia25,766352266
        There are a total of 25,766 sex offenders in Virginia. This yields a total of 352 sex offenders in Virginia per 100,000 residents which is 32% greater than the national average.

        Nearby Cities With Low Crime Rates

        City Population Violent crime/100k people Property crime/100k people Total crime/100k people
        Mason Neck, VA1,93837266303
        Nokesville, VA1,36655399454
        Hayfield, VA4,53561441501
        County Center, VA4,10471513583
        South Run, VA6,76076552628
        Crosspointe, VA5,06876552628
        Belle Haven, VA6,58276552628
        Dumfries, VA5,5592651,6431,908

        Cities with similar population

        City Population Violent crime/100k people Property crime/100k people Total crime/100k people
        Elburn, IL5,55947361408
        Oxford, PA5,5602391,2621,501
        West Modesto, CA5,5576503,0483,698
        Deer Park, OH5,5612381,4461,684
        Belvedere, SC5,5575492,5803,129
        Dumfries, VA5,5592651,6431,908
        Source: The Dumfries, VA crime data displayed above is derived from the FBI's uniform crime reports for the year of 2022. The crime report encompasses more than 18,000 city and state law enforcement agencies reporting data on property and violent crimes. The uniform crime reports program represents approximately 309 million American residents, which results in 98% coverage of metropolitan statistical areas.